Rare Earth Game Behind the Conflict between Israel and Iran
The Israel-Iran conflict escalates as U.S. considers intervention, with rare earths and geopolitical strategy at the heart of the turmoil.
The conflict between Israel and Iran has been going on for many days since it began on June 13. The conflict has now evolved into a bombardment mode, with Israeli fighter jets firing missiles into Iran and Iran firing missiles into Israel.
In other words, the Israel-Iran war has evolved into a war of attrition. According to the latest news, US President Trump is ready to order an attack on Iran. The US intervention in the war does not change the nature of the war of attrition.
Why? The purpose of the United States' intervention in the war is obviously to overthrow the Islamic regime in Iran.
Since the United States and Israel aim to overthrow the Islamic regime in Iran, ground action is inevitable. As long as the United States chooses to overthrow the Iranian regime, the war of attrition will not fundamentally change its nature.
Iran's terrain is mainly plateaus, which are easy to defend and difficult to attack. This terrain is not much different from Afghanistan. Once the US and Israeli forces launch a ground raid, they will inevitably be deeply trapped. The Iranian people will also carry out extensive operations to combat the US and Israeli invading forces under the organization of the Iranian government.
Isn't this the second Afghanistan? In the early days of the Afghan war, the United States easily defeated the Taliban regime, but the U.S. military soon fell into extensive guerrilla warfare in the mountainous areas of Afghanistan.
Obviously, the U.S. military underestimated the resistance of the Afghan people, so that the United States was deeply mired in the quagmire of Afghanistan and could not extricate itself. Not only did it fail to achieve the goal of eliminating the Taliban, but even worse, after the U.S. military withdrew in 2022, the Taliban quickly launched a counterattack, quickly destroyed the Afghan puppet government supported by the United States, and regained power.
Two-thirds of Iran's land area is a plateau. Once the US military launches a ground operation, it can indeed occupy Tehran and destroy the Islamic regime in a very short time, but the U.S. military will soon be caught in the vast ocean of guerrilla warfare by the Iranian people.
This is the fundamental reason why the Biden administration has repeatedly ordered that Israel is not allowed to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities, because the cunning Biden knows that Israel just wants to drag the United States into the water and make the United States pay for Israel’s adventurous actions.
Trump obviously does not have such wisdom. He seems to be more superstitious about his "close relationship" with Israel and his country's already weakened national strength. When Trump decides to intervene in the war with Iran, as the American host Tucker Carlson said, this will be "the end of America. "
Tucker Carlson is not exaggerating. The US fiscal deficit is already as high as $36 trillion, and it is said that the US deficit this year will be as high as $4 trillion. If the US is involved in a long-term war with Iran, the US fiscal deficit will soar to astronomical figures, which may lead to the ultimate bankruptcy of the US fiscal system.
Therefore, the best solution for the United States is not to launch ground operations. If ground operations are the best solution for the United States, then President Biden would have directly launched ground operations instead of waiting until now.
According to the United States' past practices, the optimal solution for the United States should be to eliminate the top leadership of the Iranian Islamic regime through precision strikes, then dismantle its nuclear capabilities, and finally overthrow the Iranian Islamic regime through the so-called "color revolution " and establish a pro-American government controlled by the United States and Israel.
So why is Trump so eager to overthrow the Islamic government in Iran? Is Trump really stupid and can't understand the reason? The answer is, of course, because of rare earths.
Since the Sino-US trade war, almost all the means used by the United States against China have failed. Not only have they failed, but more importantly, the United States has been strangled by China's rare earth supply. China has introduced very strict rare earth controls, causing American companies, especially military-industrial companies, to almost face the risk of suspension of production.
Trump has almost no cards to force China to relax its control over rare earths for US military enterprises, so he can only force China to relax its control over rare earths by overthrowing the Iranian government. If the US and Israel overthrow the Iranian government, it will create serious chaos in the border areas of China, Pakistan, and even Afghanistan, which will increase the pressure on China's western border. Then Trump can use this as a bargaining chip to force China to make concessions.
The United States will never relax its control over high-end chips to China, because China now has a complete industrial chain system and strong manufacturing capabilities. If it relaxes its control over high-end chips, the United States will no longer be able to curb China's development. Once China truly develops and surpasses the United States, all the castles in the air built by the United States through finance will collapse, and the United States will be divided and fall into civil war, which is something the United States will never allow.
Therefore, the so-called "rare earths for chips " will not happen, and the United States can only force China to make concessions through other means.
One of the other ways is to overthrow the Iranian regime. So why does Trump allow his military-industrial enterprises to obtain rare earths? The answer is, of course, to maintain the scale of US arms sales, especially the so-called "arms sales to Taiwan Region ".
The United States must send enough weapons and ammunition to Taiwan Island in order to finally ignite the Taiwan Strait war. The reason why the United States wants to ignite a war in the Taiwan Strait is, of course, to detonate internal conflicts in China through war, and ultimately dismember mainland China and reap the wealth of the Chinese people.